Miami (OH) vs Minnesota 9/17/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Miami (OH) winning 45% of simulations, and Minnesota 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Miami (OH) commits fewer turnovers in 59% of simulations and they go on to win 54% when they take care of the ball. Minnesota wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Zac Dysert is averaging 313 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Duane Bennett is averaging 55 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MIN -3.5

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